Former Vice President Joe Biden is slipping, and Senator Bernie Sanders (D-Vermont) is gaining in a new national poll from Emerson Polling.
The poll, which was conducted between August 24 and August 26, shows the former vice president still in front, but with 31% support, rather than the 33% support he enjoyed in Emerson’s July national poll. Meanwhile, Sen. Sanders saw his support climb from 20% in late July to 24% in late August, suggesting the Vermont senator is gaining in popularity at Biden’s expense. Emerson is considered one of the more reputable national pollsters, earning a B+ rating from FiveThirtyEight.
Rounding out the top five were Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-Massachusetts), who saw her support climb from 14% in July to 15% in August; Senator Kamala Harris (D-California), who dropped from 11% last month to 10% this month, and venture capitalist Andrew Yang, who has since overtaken South Bend, Indiana mayor Pete Buttigieg. Yang is at 4% in the August poll, while Buttigieg is at 3%. Last month, the South Bend mayor had 6% support, and Yang had just 2%.
This is the second national poll in as many days that shows Biden losing support, and Sens. Sanders and Warren gaining support. On Monday, a national poll conducted by Monmouth University showed Sanders and Warren tied for first place, with 20% support apiece, while Biden was in second place with 19% for the first time in any Monmouth poll. Mayor Buttigieg also saw his support drop in the Monmouth poll, dropping from 5% in June to 4% in August.
The narrative that Sanders was slipping in the polls may be put to rest following the Monmouth and Emerson polls showing Sanders’ momentum. In a recent interview on CNN’s The Axe Files, former Obama advisor David Axelrod tried to suggest that Sanders was losing ground after one poll showed Sanders behind Biden and Warren. Sanders responded by producing printed copies of polls showing him gaining more in popularity than any other 2020 Democratic candidate since the Democratic debates in Detroit.
“I am not unhappy with the polling,” Sen. Bernie Sanders says.
“Where we are…doing quite poorly is with older people, people over 65. And we have got to pay more attention to that voting bloc.”
— CNN (@CNN) August 24, 2019
The next round of Democratic debates will take place in Houston, Texas in late September. So far, ten candidates have qualified. Biden, Sanders, Warren, Harris, Buttigieg, and Yang will appear onstage along with Senator Cory Booker (D-New Jersey), former Housing and Urban Development Secretary Julián Castro, Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-Minnesota), and former Congressman Beto O’Rourke (D-Texas).
(Featured image: Gage Skidmore/Wikimedia Commons, Doug Jones for U.S. Senate/Wikimedia Commons)
Tom Cahill is a contributor for Grit Post who covers political and economic news. He lives in Bend, Oregon. Send him an email at tom DOT v DOT cahill AT gmail DOT com.